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Items to consider when wagering on Quarter Horse Racing
Following
are some handicapping factors that can be used to aid in
placing a wager:
Straightaway
American Quarter Horse racing is an all-out burst of speed
from the starting gate with every horse trying to put a
head in front at the finish. There is no time to maneuver
for position or come from behind in the final stretch run
as in Thoroughbred racing. Therefore, the experienced handicapper
can concentrate on speed, class, jockey/trainer combinations
and track conditions without having to spend time trying
to predict how the race will be run.
The
American Quarter Horse may be America's most consistent
athlete. In 1993, American Quarter Horse wagering favorites
finished in the money (first, second or third) 71% of the
time, while winning 35%. Those are figures that can't be
claimed by Thoroughbred or Standardbred racing! But that's
not saying American Quarter Horse racing lacks the excitement
of winning long shots. With 39% of the horses finishing
first, second or third going off with odds of 5-1 or greater,
you know the exotic wagers must have paid some handsome
rewards.
The
key is knowing how to cash in on those rewards yourself.
But how? The answer is knowledge. If you're a smart handicapper
you'll do your homework by learning everything you can about
the horse, its rider, trainer, bloodline, competition and
even the surface the horse will run on.
1.
Class. Class is probably the most important factor in
handicapping. Analyze everything you see, hear or read in
the context of class. In the most basic sense, class refers
to the ability to win, produce winners and develop high
quality, competitive races. Class not only involves racehorses,
but sires and dams, owners, breeders, trainers, jockeys,
races and even tracks. Think of class in terms of levels
of excellence and a competitive edge. Here's an example
of class in a racehorse compared to other athletes. During
the 1987 National Football League strike, many talented
athletes replaced striking players. The replacements made
for some exciting Sunday afternoons. But only a few of the
replacements were able to keep their jobs when the striking
players returned. The reason? They were simply not up to
the superior play of the regulars. In other words, they
were outclassed. The same can be true of a racehorse. For
instance, a horse that may win with a fast time in claiming
races would probably lose when going against horses that
regularly participate in stakes race competition with similar
race times. Here's how class relates to a racetrack. A horse
with a 96 speed index and first place finish at Sunland
Park is not necessarily the same as a horse with a 96 speed
index and first place finish at Remington Park. Although
both are two of American Quarter Horse racing's finest racing
facilities, Remington Park emphasizes American Quarter Horse
racing, carries many more graded stakes and the average
purse structure is significantly higher, thus attracting
more of American Quarter Horse racing's premier performers.
2.
Before Race Day Preparations. In order to evaluate the
entrants in any race, you'll need historical data or past
performances, as they are called.
3.
Reading between the lines. The past performance information
for each horse in a race is there in black and white for
everyone wagering on the race to follow. The only way you
can out-handicap the competition is if you can read between
the lines.
4.
RACE FREQUENCY. As many as 10 of a horse's past races
are listed by date beginning with the most recent race.
**TIP** - Look for excessive or irregular layoffs between
races which could indicate a fitness problem that could
keep the horse from running true to form. Conversely, look
for a history of regular layoffs with an immediate return
to peak form.
5.
TRACK CONDITION. Weather can change a track's condition
quickly. Dirt tracks are rated as follows: ft-fast; sy-sloppy;
m-muddy; gd-good; sl-slow; hy-heavy; fr-frozen. **TIP**
- Horses that performed well in conditions similar to today's
could have the edge.
6.
DISTANCE. There are three types of races in American
Quarter Horse racing: short sprints of 220, 250, 300, 330
and 350 yards; long sprints of 400, 440, 550 and 660 yards;
and distance or races around one turn of 770, 870 and 1,000
yards. **TIP** - Determine the horse's suitability to today's
distance. A horse that performs well at short distances
could fade during a longer race. And conversely, a horse
that breaks slowly but performs well in the stretch may
need the extra distance to win. In some cases, American
Quarter Horses, which have not been top performers at short
or long sprints, may become competitive at 870 yards.
7.
TYPES OF RACES. Maiden, Speed Index, Trial, Claiming,
Allowance, Handicap and Stakes. You'll find a more complete
description later and in the glossary. **TIP** - Think of
race classifications as levels of the class of horse they
attract with stakes races being the highest and $2,000 maiden
claiming the lowest. The conditions of a race (non-winners
of two, three or four) or claiming prices ($2,000-$20,000)
are significant differences in the same type of race.
8.
POST POSITION. At certain times or conditions, tracks
might have surfaces which favor the inside, middle or outside
post positions. Most programs list the percentage of wins
from each post position. Some horses also favor certain
post positions. **TIP** - On races around the turn, unless
a horse has a great deal of early speed to go to the front
and take the inside rail, an outside post position is definitely
a disadvantage. A fast-breaking horse that usually wins
when it breaks first can have an edge when positioned with
room to run. Look for horses that break well with a post
position between two horses that generally do not get away
fast. In straightaway races, the one hole is generally a
disadvantage, while the outside might be an advantage.
9.
POSITION CALLS. A horse's position during a race and
its lengths behind the front-runner are generally described
at four locations along the race: the break call at two
strides or ten yards from the starting gate; the first stretch
call at the 1/8 pole or 220 yards from the finish; the second
stretch call at the 1/16 pole or 110 yards from the finish;
and at the finish. **TIP** - Positioning and ability to
make up ground can reveal a lot about the horse you're evaluating;
his suitability to today's distance; and a pattern of improvement
as the race progresses.
10.
MEDICATIONS. The two types of legally permitted medications
are Bute and Lasix. Bute is an anti-inflammatory drug used
to reduce stiffness. Lasix is a diuretic used to treat respiratory
bleeding some athletes experience. **TIP** - If a horse
is on the first-time Lasix list and has shown good early
performance in past races but has faded toward the end,
the effects of Lasix might make a difference in his next
race.
11.
EQUIPMENT. The symbol "b" indicates the horse wore blinkers
during a race. **TIP** - A horse which has been running
erratically and shows to be wearing blinkers for the first
time might be a good wager.
12.
WEIGHT. The total amount of weight a horse is required
to carry (including jockey and tack). **TIP** - In American
Quarter Horse racing, weight is not a major factor in the
shorter races. However, in races of 440 yards or more, it
does have some importance. The horses with the best performance
records may be required to carry the most weight in an attempt
to make a more even contest. Look for a horse's ability
to carry more weight in his previous races.
13.
TIME and INDIVIDUAL TIME. The time of the race (the
winner's time) and the time of the individual horse are
shown in seconds and hundredths of seconds. **TIP** - Use
best recent times at today's distance, conditions and racetrack.
Keep the different elements of class in mind while making
your comparisons.
14.
SPEED INDEX. The speed index is an evaluation of a horse's
speed in a race versus the three fastest winning times for
the same distance each year for the previous three years
at the same racetrack. **TIP** - An average of best recent
speed indexes is a good basis for comparison. Again, keep
the elements of class, wind and track condition in mind.
15.
JOCKEYS. At any given track, there is a broad range
of talent. Generally speaking, the best horses will have
the best riders (ones who can be found on the leading rider
list in your program). **TIP** - Jockey changes can affect
the outcome of a race. For instance, if you note that a
leading jockey has been taken off his regular mount and
switched to another, you could have a better chance of a
winning wager on his new mount.
16.
TRAINERS. As with jockeys, any given track will have
a broad range of trainers, with varying degrees of expertise
and experience. **TIP** - Pay attention to their winning
percentages, not just their total wins, as a good trainer
with a few horses will never lead the trainer's list. Try
to keep track of a trainer's ability with different classes
or ages of horses. Some trainers are better with claiming
horses, while others concentrate on stakes performers.
17.
BREEDING. A listing of horse's sire, dam and dam's sire.
**TIP** - As a general rule, pedigree has a significant
influence on a horse's natural ability to run. Keep note
of the leading sires and dams as well as breeders and owners
when considering class. This is especially true when handicapping
two-year-olds and first-time starters.
18.
MONEY LINE. The number of starts, wins, places (second),
shows (thirds) and purse money won this year and last year.
The lifetime total of wins and in-the-money (first, seconds
and thirds) and lifetime purse money. **TIP** - Can be an
indication of improvement or deterioration and class. Compare
percentages of wins, in-the-money or average money earned
per start.
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